Prediction market volume forecast to reach $187bn in 2026

Prediction markets are on course for a record year. Macquarie forecasts $187bn in trading volume in 2026, 8.5 times the 2025 total, as reported by SiGMA in October 2026.

Where the growth is coming from

Exchanges are adding markets across sports, politics, economics and culture, and sportsbook brands are launching prediction products of their own. The money is following. Kalshi was valued at $22bn after its March 2026 raise, as reported by Benzinga, and FanDuel plans to spend up to $300m on prediction markets, according to Covers.

What comes next

Winning traders is half the job. As competition grows, keeping them between trades will matter just as much, and loyalty built for prediction markets is how platforms will do it.